docs(lilith): RESULT for program r4 (siblings in context) — NOT CERTIFIED #568

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toasterson merged 1 commit from docs/lilith-program-r4-result into main 2026-10-08 05:44:23 +00:00
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Acceptance RESULT for lilith-program-r4-20261006 (plan docs/ai/plans/2026-10-06-lilith-program-r4-siblings-in-context.md, PR #552; treatment = run 3's hypotheses 1–3 with run 3 as the control).

NOT CERTIFIED, 97 blockers. The treatment reached the trainer (15 teacher siblings and 9 first-divergence pairs trained, against 1 and 0 in run 3), and the candidate is worse than both run 3 and the frozen parent because it loops on tool reads: 126 of 218 sealed dojo episodes never answered (111 context overflows at 64k after repeated identical calls), 62 more hit the 20-round cap. Run 3's candidate on the same serving stack: 30/30 clean. Stage samples on the same 30 episodes: green 0.248, brown 0.499, black 0.059, candidate 0.000 (run 3 candidate 0.569) — the Brown-stage adapter is sound, the Black stage (Brown on-policy archive + Black base) collapses it.

Panel (κ verdict 0.67; grounding κ 0.31 after the new grounding rule, PR #554): candidate 19/51 vs parent 5/105 where it answered. Commitment on_time 0.275 (run 3 0.321, parent 0.551). Care 2/6 missed. Gap: measured for the first time with the thinking channel open (PR #559): recall 0.0 on 10 evidence-absent episodes; the trace fabricates before reading.

Incidents include the Ollama Cloud monthly limit (operator: capped until reset), the exam crash fixed by PR #563, ~$12 of idle pod spend after the crash, and a stranded pod host. Cost $28.70 (credit $201.49 → $172.79). Nine open hypotheses, the first being the Brown on-policy archive (length-asymmetric pairs).

Acceptance RESULT for `lilith-program-r4-20261006` (plan `docs/ai/plans/2026-10-06-lilith-program-r4-siblings-in-context.md`, PR #552; treatment = run 3's hypotheses 1–3 with run 3 as the control). **NOT CERTIFIED, 97 blockers.** The treatment reached the trainer (15 teacher siblings and 9 first-divergence pairs trained, against 1 and 0 in run 3), and the candidate is worse than both run 3 and the frozen parent because it loops on tool reads: 126 of 218 sealed dojo episodes never answered (111 context overflows at 64k after repeated identical calls), 62 more hit the 20-round cap. Run 3's candidate on the same serving stack: 30/30 clean. Stage samples on the same 30 episodes: green 0.248, brown 0.499, black 0.059, candidate 0.000 (run 3 candidate 0.569) — the Brown-stage adapter is sound, the Black stage (Brown on-policy archive + Black base) collapses it. Panel (κ verdict 0.67; grounding κ 0.31 after the new grounding rule, PR #554): candidate 19/51 vs parent 5/105 where it answered. Commitment on_time 0.275 (run 3 0.321, parent 0.551). Care 2/6 missed. Gap: measured for the first time with the thinking channel open (PR #559): recall 0.0 on 10 evidence-absent episodes; the trace fabricates before reading. Incidents include the Ollama Cloud monthly limit (operator: capped until reset), the exam crash fixed by PR #563, ~$12 of idle pod spend after the crash, and a stranded pod host. Cost $28.70 (credit $201.49 → $172.79). Nine open hypotheses, the first being the Brown on-policy archive (length-asymmetric pairs).
docs(lilith): RESULT for program r4 (siblings in context) acceptance — NOT CERTIFIED
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Run 4 trained the three data fixes from run 3 (32k context, teacher result budgets, first-divergence pairs) and the siblings reached the trainer (15 siblings, 9 pairs). The candidate loops on tool reads: 126 of 218 sealed episodes never answered; the Brown-stage adapter is sound, the Black stage collapses it. Panel 19/51 vs the parent's 5/105 where it answered.
toasterson deleted branch docs/lilith-program-r4-result 2026-10-08 05:44:37 +00:00
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